Project 2722 - 2011/12

Category 1: Peer-reviewed literature

Low M., Meyer L., Southwell C. (2007) Experimental evaluation of a new ground-based survey method for estimating the density and abundance of nesting Adélie penguins Pygoscelis adeliae, Polar Biology 31. 309-315; [Ref: 13261]

Southwell C., Paxton C.G.M., Borchers D.L., Boveng P., Blix A.S., Nordøy E.S. (2008) Estimating population status under conditions of uncertainty: the Ross seal in East Antarctica, Antarctic Science 20(2). 123-133; [Ref: 13279]

Tierney M., Southwell C., Emmerson L.M., Hindell M.A. (2008) Evaluating and using stable-isotope analysis to infer diet composition and foraging ecology of Adélie penguins Pygoscelis adeliae, Marine Ecology Progress Series 355. 297-307; [Ref: 13308]

Southwell C., Paxton C.G.M., Borchers D., Boveng P., de la Mare W. (2008) Taking account of dependent species in Management of the Southern Ocean krill fishery: estimating crabeater seal abundance off east Antarctica, Journal of Applied Ecology 45. 622-631; [Ref: 13310]

Southwell C., Paxton C.G.M., Borchers D., Boveng P., Rogers T., de la Mare W.K. (2008) Uncommon or cryptic? Challenges in estimating leopard seal abundance by conventional but state-of-the-art methods, Deep-Sea Research 1 55(4). 519-531; [Ref: 13311]

Emmerson L., Southwell C. (2008) Sea ice cover and its influence on Adélie penguin reproductive performance, Ecology 89(8). 2096-2102; [Ref: 13473]

Fewster R.M., Southwell C., Borchers D.L., Buckland S.T., Pople A.R. (2008) The influence of animal mobility on the assumption of uniform distances in aerial line-transect surveys, Wildlife Research 35. 275-288; [Ref: 13474]

Southwell C., Paxton C.G.M., Borchers D.L. (2008) Detectability of penguins in aerial surveys over the pack-ice off Antarctica, Wildlife Research 35. 349-357; [Ref: 13475]

Southwell C., Clarke J., Emmerson L.M. (2006) Assessing the power to detect systematic change in Adélie penguin foraging trip duration, CCAMLR Science 13. 201-215; [Ref: 12752]

Low M., Meyer L., Southwell C. (2007) Number and distribution of Adelie penguin (Pygoscelis adeliae) breeding sites in the Robinson Group of islands, Mac.Robertson Land coast, east Antarctica, Polar Record 43(226). 225-229; [Ref: 12954]

Newbery K.M., Southwell C. (2009) An automated camera system for remote monitoring in polar environments, Cold Regions Science and Technology 55. 47-51; [Ref: 13552]

Tierney M., Nichols P.D., Wheatley K.E., Hindell M.A. (2008) Blood fatty acids indicate inter- and intra-annual variation in the diet of Adélie penguins: Comparison with stomach content and stable isotope analysis, Journal of Experimental Marine Biology and Ecology 367. 65-74; [Ref: 13745]

Tierney M., Emmerson L., Hindell M. (2009) Temporal variation in Adélie penguin diet at Béchervaise Island, east Antarctica and its relationship to reproductive performance, Marine Biology 156. 1633-1645; [Ref: 13833]

Wilson D. (2009) Causes and benefits of chick aggregations in penguins, The Auk 126(3). 688-693; [Ref: 13862]

Southwell C., Smith D., Bender A. (2009) Incomplete search effort: a potential source of bias in estimates of Adélie penguin breeding populations in the Australian Antarctic Territory, Polar Record 45(235). 375-380; [Ref: 13958]

Wilson D., Pike R., Southwell D., Southwell C. (2009) A systematic survey of breeding Adélie penguins (Pygoscelis adeliae) along Mawson and Kemp Land coasts, east Antarctica: new colonies and population counts, Antarctic Science 21(6). 591-592; [Ref: 13959]

Wilson D. (2009) The cape petrel (Daption capense) around Mawson Station, East Antarctica: new breeding localities and population counts, Notornis 56. 162-164; [Ref: 14098]

McKinlay J., Southwell C., Trebilco R. (2010) Integrating Count Effort by Seasonally Correcting Animal Population Estimates (ICESCAPE): a method for estimating abundance and its uncertainty from count data using Adélie penguins as a case study, CCAMLR Science 17. 213-227; [Ref: 14338]

Southwell C., McKinlay J., Emmerson L., Trebilco R., Newbery K. (2010) Improving estimates of Adélie penguin breeding population size: developing factors to adjust one-off population counts for availability bias, CCAMLR Science 17. 229-241; [Ref: 14339]

Emmerson L., Southwell C. (2011) Adélie penguin survival: age structure, temporal variability and environmental influences, Oecologia 167. 951-965; [Ref: 14490]

Emmerson L., Pike R., Southwell C. (2011) Reproductive consequences of environment-driven variation in Adélie penguin breeding phenology, Marine Ecology Progress Series 440. 203-216; [Ref: 14656]

Southwell C., Emmerson L. (2013) Large-scale occupancy surveys in East Antarctica discover new Adélie penguin breeding sites and reveal an expanding breeding distribution, Antarctic Science 25(4). 531-535; [Ref: 15150]

Jarman S.N., McInnes J.C., Faux C., Polanowski A.M., Marthick J., Deagle B.E., Southwell C., Emmerson L. (2013) Adélie Penguin Population Diet Monitoring by Analysis of Food DNA in Scats, PLoS ONE 8(12). e82227; [Ref: 15169]

Faux C., McInnes J.C., Jarman S.N. (2014) High-throughput real-time PCR and melt curve analysis for sexing Southern Ocean seabirds using fecal samples, Theriogenology 81(6). 870-874; [Ref: 15171]

Southwell C., Low M., Newbery K., Emmerson L. (2014) First comprehensive abundance survey of a newly discovered Adélie penguin breeding metapopulation in the Robinson Group of islands, Mac.Robertson Land, east Antarctica, Antarctic Science 26(3). 265-266; [Ref: 15201]

Southwell C., Emmerson L. (2015) Remotely-operating camera network expands Antarctic seabird observations of key breeding parameters for ecosystem monitoring and management, Journal for Nature Conservation 23. 1-8; [Ref: 15440]

Southwell C.J., Emmerson L.M., McKinlay J.P., Newbery K.M., Takahashi A., Kato A., Barbraud C., DeLord K., Weimerskirch H. (2015) Spatially Extensive Standardized Surveys Reveal Widespread, Multi-Decadal Increase in East Antarctic Adélie Penguin Populations, PLoS ONE 18pp; [Ref: 15645]

Southwell C., Emmerson L. (2019) Constraint in the midst of growth: decadal-scale Adélie penguin population trends at Scullin and Murray Monoliths diverge from widespread increases across East Antarctica, Polar Biology 42. 1397-1403; [Ref: 16239]

Emmerson L., Walsh S., Southwell C. (2019) Non-breeder birds at colonies display qualitatively similar mass change patterns as breeders, Ecology and Evolution 9. 4637-4650; [Ref: 16241]

Black C., Southwell C., Emmerson L., Lunn D., Hart T. (2018) Time-lapse imagery of Adélie penguins reveals differential winter strategies and breeding site occupation, PLoS ONE 1-12; [Ref: 16244]

Hinke J.T., Barbosa A., Emmerson L.M., Hart T., Juares M.A., Korczak-Abshire M., Milinevsky G., Santos M., Trathan P.N., Watters G.M., Southwell C. (2018) Estimating nest-level phenology and reproductive success of colonial seabirds using time-lapse cameras, Methods in Ecology and Evolution 9 1853-1863; [Ref: 16245]

Southwell C., Emmerson L., Takahashi A., Kato K., Barbraud C., Delord L., Weimerskirch H. (2017) Recent studies overestimate colonization and extinction events for Adelie Penguin breeding colonies, The Auk: Ornithological Advances 134 39-50; [Ref: 16247]

Southwell C., Emmerson L., Takahashi A., Barbraud C., Delford K., Weimerskirch H. (2017) Large-scale population assessment informs conservation management for seabirds in Antarctica and the Southern Ocean: a case study of Adélie penguins, Global Ecology and Conservation 9 104-115; [Ref: 16248]

Youngflesh C., Jenouvrier S., Li Y., Ji R., Ainley D.G., Ballard G., Barbraud C., Delord K., Dugger K.M., Emmerson L.M., Fraser W.R., Hinke J.T., Lyver P., Olmastroni S., Southwell C., Trivelpiece S.G., Trivelpiece W.Z., Lynch H.J. (2017) Circumpolar analysis of the Adélie penguin reveals the importance of environmental variability in phenological mismatch, Ecology 98 940-951; [Ref: 16249]

Southwell D.M., Einoder L.D., Emmerson L.M., Southwell C.J. (2011) Using the double-observer method to estimate detection probability of two cavity nesting seabirds in Antarctica: the snow petrel (Pagodroma nivea) and the Wilson’s snow petrel (Oceanites oceanicus), Polar Biology 34(10). 1467-1474; [Ref: 14759]

Southwell C.J., Driessen R., Candy S.G. (2012) Using Virtual Simulation in a Geographic Information System to Optimize Abundance Survey Designs When Logistic and Biological Conditions are Constrained, Wildlife Society Bulletin 36(4). 784-795; [Ref: 15068]

Southwell C.J., McKinlay J., Low M., Wilson D., Newbery K., Lieser J.L., Emmerson L.M. (2013) New methods and technologies for regional-scale abundance estimation of land-breeding marine animals: application to Adélie penguin populations in East Antarctica, Polar Biology 36. 843-856; [Ref: 15069]

Riaz J., Bestley S., Wotherspoon S., Emmerson L. (2021) Horizontal-vertical movement relationships: Adélie penguins forage continuously throughout provisioning trips, Movement Ecology .; [Ref: 16514]

Emmerson L., Southwell C. (2022) Environment-triggered demographic changes cascade and compound to propel a dramatic decline of an Antarctic seabird metapopulation, Global Change Biology .; [Ref: 16583]

Viola B., Wienecke B., Green C., Corney S., Raymond B., Southwell C., Sumner M.D., Virtue P., Wotherspoon S., Emmerson L. (2023) Marine distribution and habitat use by Snow Petrels Pagodroma nivea in East Antarctica throughout the non-breeding period, Frontiers in Marine Science 10. 1278229; [Ref: 16902]

Category 2: International meeting papers

Emmerson L., Kokubun N., Southwell C. (2013) Winter and summer foraging location of Adélie penguins from Mawson, Davis and Casey, . CCAMLR WG-EMM-13/08 (restricted document); [Ref: 15070]

Southwell C., Emmerson L., Constable A. (2012) Assessing indicators for feedback monitoring and management of the krill fishery: data and methods for assessing predator productivity as an indicator, CCAMLR WG-EMM-12/39 (restricted document); [Ref: 14767]

Emmerson L., Southwell C. (2012) Temporal variability in Adélie penguin CEMP parameters and their response to changes in prey availability, CCAMLR WG-EMM-12/48 (restricted document); [Ref: 14768]

Emmerson L., Southwell C. (2017) Estimating prey consumption of the non-breeder component of an Adélie penguin population, CCAMLR WG-EMM-17/12 .; [Ref: 16255]

Southwell C., Emmerson L. (2016) Krill consumption by Adélie penguins in CCAMLR Divisions 58.4.1 and 58.4.2, CCAMLR WG-EMM-16/65 .; [Ref: 16260]

Trathan P.N., Lynch H.J., Southwell C., Fretwell P.T., Watters G., Ratcliffe N. (2012) Extending ecological monitoring to underpin the development of feedback management approaches for the Antarctic krill fishery, CCAMLR WG-EMM-12/04 (restricted document); [Ref: 14674]

Southwell C., Driessen R., Candy S., McPherson G., Clarke J. (2005) A GIS tool to assist in the planning and design of sample surveys of the abundance of colonial breeding species, CCAMLR Scientific Abstracts. WG-EMM-05/25. 1-13; [Ref: 12058]

Southwell C., Trathan P., Trivelpiece G.M., Wilson P. (2005) Developments, considerations and recommendations by the land-based predator survey group: a summary and up-date, CCAMLR WG-EMM-05/25. (5 pages); [Ref: 12093]

McKinlay J., Southwell C. (2011) A simulation study to determine the relationship between sampling intensity and precision when estimating availability functions for breeding Adélie penguin colonies, CCAMLR WG-EMM-11/12 (restricted document); [Ref: 14604]

Southwell C., Emmerson L., Forcada J., Goebel M., Hinke J., Lynch H., Lyver P., McKinlay J., Ratcliffe N., Ramm D., Reid K., Reiss C., Trivelpiece W., Trivelpiece S., Trathan P. (2011) Update on inter-sessional work by the Sub-group on Status and Trends Assessment of Predator Populations (WG-EMM-STAPP), CCAMLR WG-EMM-11/30 (restricted document); [Ref: 14605]

Southwell C., McKinlay J., Newbery K., Emmerson L., Low M., Pike R., Wilson D., Southwell D., Einoder L. (2011) Current abundance of Adélie penguin breeding populations along the Kemp and Mac. Robertson Land coasts, east Antarctica: application of new survey and estimation methods for broad-scale population assessment, CCAMLR WG-EMM-11/31 (restricted document); [Ref: 14606]

Southwell C., McKinlay J., Newbery K., Emmerson L., Lieser J. (2011) New regional-scale surveys of the Adélie penguin breeding population in Prydz Bay: a step towards improved estimation of krill consumption in east Antarctica, CCAMLR WG-EMM-11/32 (restricted document); [Ref: 14607]

Emmerson L., Southwell C. (2011) Potential phonological responses to environmental variability and change for Adélie penguins, CCAMLR WG-EMM-11/33 (restricted document); [Ref: 14608]

Southwell C., Emmerson L. (2011) A large-scale survey of Adélie penguin breeding distribution in east Antarctica, CCAMLR WG-EMM-11/34 (restricted document); [Ref: 14609]

Southwell C., Emmerson L., Newbery K. (2011) Using automated cameras as a cost-effective means of extending land-based predator monitoring, CCAMLR WG-EMM-11/37 (restricted document); [Ref: 14610]

Southwell C., Driessen R., Candy S. (2011) Optimising the design of large scale ground surveys of Adélie penguin abundance using virtual simulation in a geographic information system, CCAMLR WG-EMM-11/42 (restricted document); [Ref: 14611]

Southwell C. (2011) Some possible modifications to CEMP Standard Methods A3a, A3b and A9 to allow greater flexibility in the collection and interpretation of breeding population count data, CCAMLR WG-EMM-11/38 (restricted document); [Ref: 14612]

Emmerson L., Southwell C. (2011) Adélie penguin survival: age structure, temporal variability and environmental influences, CCAMLR WG-EMM-11P4 (restricted document); [Ref: 14613]

Southwell C., Forcada J., Goebel M., Hinke J., Lynch H., Lyver P., McKinlay J., Ratcliffe N., Ramm D., Reid K., Reiss C., Trivelpiece W., Trivelpiece S., Trathan P. (2009) Update on progress in intersessional work from the Predator Survey workshop, CCAMLR WG-EMM-09/39 7pp; [Ref: 13863]

McKinlay J., Southwell C., Trebilco R. (2009) Integrating Count Effort by Seasonally Correcting Animal Population Estimates (ICESCAPE): A method for estimating abundance and its uncertainty from count data using Adélie penguins as a case study, CCAMLR WG-EMM-09/20 14pp; [Ref: 13864]

Southwell C., McKinlay J., Emmerson L., Trebilco R., Newbery K. (2009) Improving estimates of Adélie penguin breeding population size: developing factors to adjust one-off population counts for availability bias, CCAMLR WG-EMM-09/38 13pp; [Ref: 13865]

Southwell C., Smith D., Bender A. (2008) Incomplete search effort as a potential source of bias in broad-scale estimates of penguin abundance derived from published count data: a case study for Adélie penguins in East Antarctica, CCAMLR WG-EMM-PSW-08/13 10pp; [Ref: 13476]

Southwell C., McKinlay J. (2008) A brief summary of Adélie penguin count data from East Antarctica, CCAMLR WG-EMM-PSW-08/12 7pp; [Ref: 13477]

McKinlay J.P., Southwell C.J. (2008) Seasonal Estimation of Abundance by Bootstrapping Inexact Research Data (SEABIRD): A method of assessing abundance and uncertainty from historical count data using Adélie penguins as a case study, CCAMLR WG-EMM-PSW-08/11 3pp; [Ref: 13478]

Wilson D. (2008) Flying seabirds in Area 48; a review of population estimates, coverage and potential gaps in survey extent and methods, CCAMLR WG-EMM-PSW-08/10 15pp; [Ref: 13479]

Emmerson L., Southwell C. (2008) Aspects of population structure, dynamics, and demography of relevance to abundance estimation: Adélie penguins, CCAMLR WG-EMM-PSW-08/9 8pp; [Ref: 13480]

Lynch H., Naveen R., McKinlay J., Southwell C., Trathan P., Trivelpiece W., Trivelpiece S., Ramm D. (2008) Preliminary estimation of penguin breeding abundance at spatial-scales of relevance to CCAMLR: incorporating uncertainty in count data, CCAMLR WG-EMM-08/53 8pp; [Ref: 13481]

Southwell C., McKinlay J., Pike R., Wilson D., Newbery K., Emmerson L. (2008) Spatial and temporal variation in attributes of Adélie penguin breeding populations: implications for uncertainty in estimation of the abundance of breeding penguins from one-off counts, CCAMLR WG-EMM-PSW-08/7 10pp; [Ref: 13482]

Emmerson L., Southwell C. (2008) Estimating the number pre- and intermittent breeders associated with the Béchervaise Island Adélie penguin population, CCAMLR WG-EMM-PSW-08/8 19pp; [Ref: 13483]

Category 3: Book review

Emmerson L. (2011) A practical guide to Ecological Modelling: using R as a simulation platform, Austral Ecology 36(4). e14; [Ref: 14480]

Category 3: Verbal presentation

Emmerson L., Southwell C. (2011) Linking environmental conditions with Antarctic seabird demography: contrasting winter and summer processes, Ecological Society of Australia Conference, 21-25 November 2011, Hobart, Australia .; [Ref: 14665]

Southwell C., Emmerson L. (2011) Top-down and bottom-up forcing in Antarctic marine ecosystems, Ecological Society of Australia Conference, 21-25 November, Hobart, Australia .; [Ref: 14666]

Emmerson L., Pike R., Townsend A., Southwell C. (2010) Variability in the breeding phenology of Adélie penguins at a colony: potential causes and consequences for reproductive success, 7th International Penguin Conference, Boston, USA, 30 August-3 September 2010 .; [Ref: 14439]

Emmerson L., Southwell C. (2010) Adélie penguin survival: age structure, temporal variability and the influence of the marine ice environment, 1st World Seabird Conference, Victoria, Canada, 7-11 September 2010 .; [Ref: 14440]

Emmerson L., Clarke J., Southwell C. (2007) The influence of sea ice on foraging trip duration and Adelie penguin breeding success at Bechervaise Island, Woehler E.J. (ed.) 2007 Abstracts of oral and poster presentations, 6th International Penguin Conference, Hobart, Australia, 3-7 September 2007 160pp; [Ref: 13111]

Tierney M., Southwell C., Emmerson L., Hindell M. (2007) Evaluating and using stable-isotope analysis to infer diet composition and foraging ecology of Adelie penguins (Pygoscelis Adeliae), Woehler E.J. (ed.) 2007 Abstracts of oral and poster presentations, 6th International Penguin Conference, Hobart, Australia, 3-7 September 2007 160pp; [Ref: 13112]

Pike R., Southwell C., Emmerson L. (2007) Investigating variability in the breeding chronology of Adelie penguins at Bechervaise Island from 1990 to 2006, Woehler E.J. (ed.) 2007 Abstracts of oral and poster presentations, 6th International Penguin Conference, Hobart, Australia, 3-7 September 2007 160pp; [Ref: 13113]

Ropert-Coudert Y., Ainley D., Ballard G., Kato A., Lyver P., Olmastroni S., Southwell C., Takahashi A., Trathan P., Wilson P., Le Maho Y. (2007) Automatic Monitoring Of Penguin Population (AMPPOP): Circumpolar monitoring of the biology of key-species in relation to environmental changes, Woehler E.J. (ed.) 2007 Abstracts of oral and poster presentations, 6th International Penguin Conference, Hobart, Australia, 3-7 September 2007 160pp; [Ref: 13114]

Category 4: Popular articles

Emmerson L., Southwell C. (2009) Adélie penguin population dynamics: 18 years in a colony, Pyper W. (ed.) Australian Antarctic Magazine 17. 7-8; [Ref: 14436]

Emmerson L. (2010) Penguins: Winners and losers, ABC Catalyst interview, August 2010 .; [Ref: 14437]

Emmerson L. (2010) Scientists in Schools: A new approach for school science, ABC Catalyst interview, August 2010 .; [Ref: 14438]